Hoops Nerd

These are not, by any means, at attempt to predict who will be selected this afternoon. Nor is this an account of who "deserves" to get in, but here are the best 34 teams without automatic bids per the Hoops Nerd Ratings (updated through Saturday, March 15th - the last version of the rankings published is here, check it out if for nothing other than the explanation). This assumes that North Carolina, Arkansas, Kansas and Wisconsin grab the remaining automatic bids later today.

Remember: these are decidedly not predictions.

1. Duke
Hoops Nerd Rating: +22.2
RPI (courtesy Ken Pomeroy): 6
Lunardi says: in
Bracketology 101 says: in
Likelihood of Bid: lock

2. Tennessee
HNR: +22.2
RPI: 1
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

3. Georgetown
HNR: +20.1
RPI: 8
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

4. Clemson
HNR: +18.7
RPI: 19
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

5. Michigan St.
HNR: +18.1
RPI: 16
Lunardi: in
B101: out
LoB: lock

6. Louisville
HNR: +18.0
RPI: 13
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

7. Marquette
HNR: +17.4
RPI: 20
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

8. Indiana
HNR: +17.2
RPI: 23
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

9. Connecticut
HNR: +16.8
RPI: 18
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

10. Notre Dame
HNR: +16.5
RPI: 27
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

11. Xavier
HNR: +16.5
RPI: 9
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

12. West Virginia
HNR: +16.2
RPI: 28
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

13. Texas
HNR: +16.1
RPI: 5
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

14. Florida
HNR: +16.0
RPI: 72
Lunardi: out
B101: out
LoB: nil

15. New Mexico
HNR: +15.1
RPI: 60
Lunardi: out
B101: out
LoB: inkling of hope

16. Purdue
HNR: +15.0
RPI: 44
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

17. Vanderbilt
HNR: +15.0
RPI: 12
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

18. Kansas St.
HNR: +14.6
RPI: 50
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

19. Washington St.
HNR: +14.3
RPI: 21
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

20. Texas A&M
HNR: +14.2
RPI: 41
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

21. Stanford
HNR: +14.0
RPI: 14
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

22. Mississippi
HNR: +14.0
RPI: 46
Lunardi: out
B101: out
LoB: inkling of hope

23. Mississippi St.
HNR: +13.9
RPI: 40
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

24. Ohio St.
HNR: +13.7
RPI: 49
Lunardi: in
B101: out
LoB: virtual coin-flip

25. Gonzaga
HNR: +13.6
RPI: 31
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

26. Syracuse
HNR: +13.0
RPI: 55
Lunardi: out
B101: out
LoB: nearly nil

27. Miami FL
HNR: +12.9
RPI: 34
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

28. Virginia Commonwealth
HNR: +12.9
RPI: 54
Lunardi: out
B101: out
LoB: inkling of hope

29. Arizona
HNR: +12.9
RPI: 38
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: inkling of hope

30. Georgia Tech
HNR: +12.6
RPI: 67
Lunardi: out
B101: out
LoB: nil

31. Virginia Tech
HNR: +12.6
RPI: 53
Lunardi: out
B101: out
LoB: inkling of hope

32. Illinois
HNR: +12.1
RPI: 103
Lunardi: out
B101: out
LoB: nil (albeit still with a shot at an automatic bid)

33. USC
HNR: +11.8
RPI: 30
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

34. Brigham Young
HNR: +11.7
RPI: 25
Lunardi: in
B101: in
LoB: lock

And, because it's the cool thing to do:

Next Four Out
Florida St.
Kentucky
Southern Illinois
New Mexico St.

Last Four Out
Illinois St.
Maryland
Alabama
Villanova